Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000037 0.000040 0.000043 0.000047 0.000052 0.000056 0.000062
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000052 0.000059 0.000068
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000032 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000060 0.000072
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000029 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000061 0.000076
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000027 0.000033 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000078
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000049 0.000062 0.000080
2026-01-11 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000038 0.000049 0.000063 0.000084
2026-01-18 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000039 0.000051 0.000068 0.000092
2026-01-25 0.000020 0.000027 0.000035 0.000046 0.000062 0.000085 0.000119
2026-02-01 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033 0.000044 0.000060 0.000083 0.000119
2026-02-08 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000059 0.000082 0.000120
2026-02-15 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000059 0.000084 0.000125
2026-02-22 0.000016 0.000022 0.000029 0.000041 0.000060 0.000087 0.000132
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.000020 0.000028 0.000040 0.000058 0.000086 0.000134
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000019 0.000026 0.000038 0.000057 0.000085 0.000136
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000018 0.000025 0.000037 0.000056 0.000085 0.000139
2026-03-22 0.000012 0.000017 0.000024 0.000035 0.000054 0.000084 0.000140
2026-03-29 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000053 0.000083 0.000141
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000053 0.000085 0.000147
2026-04-12 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000034 0.000055 0.000090 0.000160
2026-04-19 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000040 0.000067 0.000114 0.000210
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000016 0.000024 0.000039 0.000064 0.000111 0.000209
2026-05-03 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000037 0.000063 0.000109 0.000208